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3 May 2013

Can you design a green economy?

Darwin monkeyYou only have to see the repercussions of the 'Arab Spring' to see that revolutions are inherently unstable. Yet we constantly call for a 'revolution' in sustainability.

Evolution is stable, but slow. Nature itself took over a billion years to come up with a stable, sustainable environment which could support a diversity of life.

The internet 'revolution' of the mid nineties was over 20 years in the making - waiting for a number of key technologies to mature.

Far too many big green ideas seem to involve trying to 'redesign' chunks of the economy - cf the Hydrogen economy. And like the hydrogen economy they tend to fail.

On the other hand, evolution is slow, and in terms of climate and biodiversity in particular we don't have much time to waste.

So how do you accelerate evolution?

In economic terms, anything that boosts demand which produce change much more quickly than any other intervention - see how the costs of solar PV plummeted as Feed-In Tariffs produced a domestic market for a technology which was previously a specialist niche. Marks & Spencer boosted demand for recovered polyester fibre by using low grade material in bulk in cushion filling etc which brought down the price of high grade fibre for clothing.

That's not to say that business and Governments shouldn't intervene in supply chains when there is a key sticking point. But they shouldn't try to 'design' a whole green economy as one thing is sure - they'll get it wrong.

 

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26 April 2013

Triple Dips, GDP and Sustainability

George_osborne_hiAll eyes were on UK Chancellor George Osborne yesterday as the first quarter's GDP growth results were released. If they were negative, then we would have been in a 'triple-dip' recession - don't you love the way it rolls off the tongue - which would be terrible, and if positive then everything's absolutely fantastic. It went positive and George sighed a big sigh of relief.

The whole hoo-hah over the figures of course is nonsense. The definition of recession - two negative quarters in a row - has absolutely no economic significance in itself. Statistically the UK economy has been flatlining for 18 months, and whether or not we hit the accepted definition of recession or not in this period makes little practical difference.

All this makes me think about the growth/no growth debate in the sustainability world. If this is what zero growth feels like, then nobody seems particularly happy with it. My argument is that we've never really tried to decouple GDP and, say, carbon emissions, so we don't know whether the two are locked together as tightly as the no-growth proponents claim.

Which leads on to GDP itself. The big problem with this being the dominant measure of progress is that it treats all economic activity as equal whether that activity is highly socially/environmentally damaging or whether it adds value to society and the natural world. If we could get a better definition of GDP that focussed on 'good' economic activity, then the growth/no growth argument might become redundant.

Another aspect of the weakness of GDP was flagged up on BBC's Today programme early yesterday morning. The debate was how come employment was increasing if there was no growth. Economist Prof Jonathan Haskell of Imperial Business School explained that method of calculating GDP used in the UK was developed in the grimy post-war times of Keynes and doesn't handle 'production' from the modern knowledge economy. If we switched to the system used by the US, growth would leap by 1% - which would make George a very happy boy indeed.

But the implications of that current system is that relatively clean industries like software (and by extension the whole lightweight digital economy) don't register as growth whereas old smokestack industries and resource intensive sectors like construction do - a perverse incentive. So, go on, Georgie boy, change the system and make us all happy.

 

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29 March 2013

I Want My Presents!!!

birthday candlesToday is my 40-somethingth birthday.

Thank you.

My long suffering partner has decided she'd rent me The Killing as that would be much more environmentally friendly than buying me a set of DVDs which would only be watched once or twice.

Great - a good example of how businesses can provide us with the service we want (Sarah Lund) rather than the stuff (polycarbonate etc). The stuff can be sent off to entertain someone else rather than cluttering up our living room.

Except...

Deep in my brain, the voice of my inner spoiled child is shouting "Where's my presents?! I want my presents!"

This is the problem facing the collaborative/sharing economy - many of us, even those of us who think we 'get it', have been programmed from birth to relish stuff over experience. Even those 'experience' presents you can buy your loved ones come in a big box to satisfy some psychological need to give people stuff.

Funny, then, when reminiscing, it's the memories of experiences we cherish, not stuff.

I live in hope that the younger generation is shedding the stuff-hoarding habit - experiencing their lives and likes digitally as MP3s, JPGs, eBooks, Apps and streamed movies rather than the shelves groaning with once-watched DVDs that seem to be the badge of honour of my generation.

In the meantime I will put my inner child on the naughty step and tell it firmly "I want, never gets" but I fear it will mutter under its breath for a while longer.

 

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22 March 2013

Book Review: The New Capitalist Manifesto by Umair Haque

The-New-Capitalist-Manifesto-Haque-Umair-9781422158586The New Capitalist Manifesto by HBR blogger Umair Haque is the third tract I've read recently on how to make capitalism work for everyone, the others being Conscious Capitalism by Whole Foods Markets boss John Mackey and Creating Shared Value by Michael Porter and Gary Kramer.

All three have the same underlying prognosis - that capitalism as it is now, while bringing many societal benefits, has been allowed to exploit nature and society for selfish ends, diminishing opportunities for all - The Tragedy of the Commons, in effect. And the solution put forward by all three is fundamentally the same - that the successful business of the 21st Century must nurture its societal, natural and economic underpinnings rather than depleting them.

Haque's concept of 'Constructive Capitalism' is certainly the most meaningful of the three, acknowledging that capitalism has been destructive in its pursuit of what Haque calls 'thin value' - economic benefits that are outweighed by the societal and environmental costs that those benefits incurred. Thus a $3 hamburger may lead to $30 of wider costs.

Haque calls for a refocus onto 'thick value' - economic benefits which deliver net societal and environmental benefits too - in other words, Constructive Capitalism. He identifies 15 'insurgent' companies who are pursuing thick value and throughout the rest of the book compares them to more traditionally-minded 'incumbents', so Apple gets compared to Sony, Nike to Adidas, Whole Foods to Safeway etc.

The book explores the five cornerstones of constructive capitalism, of which the insurgents have adopted at least one:

  • Moving from value chains to value cycles to utilise resources by renewing instead of exploiting;
  • Moving from value propositions to value conversations to respond to demand;
  • Moving from strategies to philosophies to become more competitive in the long term;
  • Moving from protecting markets to 'completing' them - ie expanding the markets;
  • Moving from goods to 'betters' which enhance rather than deplete society.

Obviously points 1 and 5 have most relevance to the environmental arm of sustainability, looking up and down the value chain cycle. It was great to see 'green' so deeply embedded into the concept rather than the lip service it so often gets.

Each of these cornerstones has its own 'step' to make the shift - in order they are:

  • Loss advantage (as opposed to cost advantage);
  • Responsiveness;
  • Resilience;
  • Creativity;
  • Difference.

And this leads to my sole criticism of the book. While all of this is described vibrantly and clearly, there are a few too many nested lists of five bullet points of principles/neologisms which meant a bit too much riffling back to remind the reader of where exactly they are at any point - and the definition of that neologism. Some of these, like 'loss advantage', aren't entirely intuitive. This is a minor point, but it did dilute the message.

Having said that, of the three rebooting capitalism manifestos mentioned above, I found The New Capitalist Manifesto the most comprehensive, forward thinking and inspiring. My main take-away was the need to pursue thick value over thin value, and there is another whole debate about how Governments can encourage the former and penalise the latter to accelerate the transition. If you are interested in the big picture of where business should be going in the 21st Century, read this book.

 

 

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18 March 2013

What does "Re-shoring" do for the Circular Economy and CSR?

shipping containers

"Re-shoring" is a growing business trend - bringing offshore manufacturing and services back from low wage "developing countries" to so-called "developed countries". According to the Guardian, businesses as disparate as Aston Martin, Pot Noodle and kiddy-suitcase maker Trunki are re-relocating their manufacturing back in Blighty driven by rising wages in the Far East and rocketing shipping costs (presumably a result of stubbornly high oil prices).

This is clearly a good thing for the Circular Economy as goods will be consumed and 'disposed of' closer to the site of their manufacture, shrinking material loops. Quality of materials can also be better managed if the purchaser of the materials can intervene easily in the supply chain. Circular business models including leasing, remanufacturing and industrial symbiosis (one person's waste = another's raw material) all work better when manufacturers are located closer together.

There are clear CSR benefits too - we have seen in the recent horse meat scandal how difficult it is to manage complex international supply chains. Shorter supply chains mean more transparency, less opportunity for criminality and, for the EU at least, better working conditions.

And there are economic benefits to boot - an opportunity for unbalanced economies like the UK to rebalance away from the debt-driven financial and construction sectors that gave us the colossal boom and bust that we still haven't escaped.

Reshoring - a boring sounding word that I'm growing rather fond of!

 

 

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11 March 2013

If you're asking why consumers don't get it, you're asking the wrong question

shopping sustainability consumers

 

Most Fridays I take part in connectFriday on Twitter - an hour's green business chat which originated here in the North East but has now gone global (follow @connectFriday for more). I get bullied by the organisers into providing a quote of the week and a tip of the week and I enjoy a good chinwag on a chewy topic.

Last week's debate evolved from someone plaintively asking when will consumers 'get it'. My immediate riposte was that it was the wrong question - that as businesses it is futile to blame customers for not buying our product - it is either the wrong product, the wrong price or it is being marketed and sold the wrong way. In this respect we have to assume the customer is always right - and sitting back and waiting for them to 'get it' is self defeating.

The conversation evolved into the cost of green goods and services and how it was difficult to avoid passing those costs onto the consumer. This is a valid point and an area where the big brands have a distinct advantage over the green entrepreneurs who are the typical connectFriday participants. They have the buying power and the financial oomph to build the supply chains they need.

In the Green Executive, I  gave examples of Marks & Spencer and Royal Mail actively building the supply chains they need and this morning Asda announced it had developed a supply chain for bananas in the Canaries which will slash their carbon footprint from the perspective of European consumers. The small business may have to wait for such supply chains to emerge and mature, or use that entrepreneurial spirit to exploit opportunities for green materials others have missed or passed over.

But whatever the situation, the green entrepreneur must approach the market from the right direction - offering desirable green products at the right price, not waiting for some kind of mass Damascene conversion. You'll be waiting a long time.

 

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24 October 2012

Green Is Working

It's a real pity that last week's Green Is Working in London demonstration didn't get the attention it deserved. The pro-growth message, the presence of telly capitalist and 'dragon' Deborah Meaden and the neat highjacking of a certain Conservative party slogan certainly should have resonated much more in the corridors of power than the usual dread-locked hoards wanting to smash the system.

The economic case is compelling. The rising oil price in 2007 almost certainly precipitated the implosion of the debt bubble, the continuing high oil price is keeping the global economy under the cosh, and a third of what growth there is in the UK economy has been attributed to the green economy (according to the CBI). As I have said before the question is no longer "green or growth?" but "green growth or stagnation?"

The struggle for the green agenda in the Coalition Government is well understood. The Liberal Democrats and a cadre of progressive Conservatives are pushing forward hard while the Chancellor and a rump of old school Tories, perhaps with fond memories of the North Sea Oil boom years under Margaret Thatcher, are resisting and trying to prioritise gas instead. The Prime Minister appears to be trying to offend neither side by saying very little - and the one time he did open his mouth on energy recently it turned out to be another 'misspeak'.

Unfortunately little pressure is coming from the Opposition. Labour leader Ed Miliband apparently 'forgot' the green economy section of his look-no-notes conference speech, which even if we take his word for it, suggests it is far from a priority.

In the absence of a clear political direction the green economy muddles on. We have good news such as 10% of electricity being produced by onshore wind alone for a whole day in September, then bad news such as the glacial slow uptake of electric vehicles.

My recommendations would be:

  • A clear commitment from the Government (and indeed Opposition). A strong clear statement from the top would boost confidence and an end to wobbling in the face of media scare stories would steady nerves too.
  • Rapid investment in enabling technologies such as smart grids and electrical storage technologies (instead of the usual economic stimulus high carbon formula of roads and buildings).
  • Strengthening of green procurement requirements in the public sector.
  • Memoranda of Understanding between potential large scale users and suppliers of low carbon technologies to generate economies of scale in emerging supply chains.
  • Completion of the shift to intelligent subsidies which vary with capital costs to avoid the gold rush firefighting we have seen over the Feed In Tariffs.

Simple!

Photograph: Stop Climate Chaos coalition

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21 October 2012

Shining a light on decision making


One of the benefits of having one of our household on maternity leave is that we have a steady stream of tradesmen turning up to fix all the things that have broken over the last couple of years. One of these was the security light at the back of our house. When the chap came to give us a quote, it was clear that his default position was to install a bog standard 150W light. I asked him to install the most energy efficient one he could and he did, selling us this dinky little 10W LED light - a whopping factor 15 energy efficiency improvement over the other one - giving the same brightness at a tiny extra cost.

What hit me though, was his instinctive default position which I had to challenge. Many people would simply assume that they were getting the best option and go with the flow and the electrician was assuming we'd be happy with that. Everyone stays in their comfort zone and (high carbon) life continues as usual.

This sums up the challenge for those trying to effect change at both the organisational level and at the macro-economic level. Too many people on both supply and demand sides of transactions assume that the same old same old is perfectly acceptable, even if there is a much better and greener option available.

One tactic is to pick a clear winner - such as LED lighting - and use that to demonstrate the benefits of new thinking. LED technology gives a swift return on financial investment and LED lamps are now coming in all shapes and sizes from oven hood lights to huge industrial factory lamps. Once you've driven through one winner, people will tend to be more receptive to other changes in the status quo.

As for my electrician, I hope that my decision has gone some way to nudge him out of his comfort zone and make him more likely to at least proffer up the efficient option. One day, LEDs will almost certainly become his instinctive default and the more nudges he gets, the quicker that day will come.

 

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8 October 2012

A Silky Demonstration of Sustainability

We had a lovely family day out at Alnwick Gardens yesterday. Part of the kids' (and certain adults'...) entertainment was an animal show featuring scorpions, an evil looking black blood python and cute meerkats. But the highlight for me was a demonstration of one of the marvels of nature. The animal guys took a bird eating spider and let it crawl over his hand. These spiders, he explained, don't like walking on anything other than their own silk and had immediately started spinning. He pinched the end of the thread from the spider's silk gland, gave it to a father in the audience and walked across the room - getting at least 4 metres of silk straight out of the spider before he deliberately broke it.

Now spider's silk is, pound for pound, stronger than steel or kevlar, yet spiders make it a room temperature, atmospheric pressure, without aggressive chemicals and using a supply chain of dead flies (or birds and mice in this case). A huge amount of effort has gone into trying to develop an artificial equivalent of this manufacturing marvel in that amazing branch of science and engineering known as biomimicry. Such manufacturing systems would have a much smaller environmental impact than our high temperature, high pressure, hazardous approach to producing materials. Biomimicry is also giving us breakthroughs in solar cell production - mimicking the dyes plants use to convert solar energy rather than out crude and energy intensive silicon equivalents.

But the highest level of biomimicry is to try to model the whole economy on natural principles. In such an economy, all materials would move in continuous cycles with the 'waste' from one element forming the raw materials for another. We would be dependent solely on renewable energy and the system would never poison itself. Life on earth has spent a 2 billion or so years creating this model and more than a billion demonstrating it is sustainable. You can't argue with that.

 

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21 September 2012

The Silent Green Majority

Photo: Critical Mass protest in Budapest 2007, source: becherpig

Just dig these new public perception stats on renewable energy released by UK's Department of Energy & Climate Change (DECC):

  • 77% said they supported renewable energy for providing our electricity, fuel and heat, with 26% strongly supporting. Just 4% opposed renewable energy.
  • Perceptions of a range of renewable energy sources were mostly positive. Highest levels of support were found for solar (82%), off shore wind (73%) and wave and tidal (72%). On-shore wind had the highest level of opposition, though still only 12% opposed this, with 4% strongly opposing (compared with 66% supporting).

Also out this week was a survey that said, if someone was unsure whether to buy a house or not, the most popular single 'extra' that could persuade them was installed solar PV.

Jeepers. And all this despite the vast majority of UK newspapers running relentlessly negative stories about renewable energy in particular and the green movement in general. If you ever look at the comments section of any on-line green story, or the foaming and ranting in newspapers' letters pages, you'd be forgiven for believing that the shift to green was incredibly unpopular with the general public. But as Machiavelli said:

"the initiator has the enmity of all who would profit by the preservation of the old institution and merely lukewarm defenders in those who gain by the new ones.”

There is, it appears, rather a sizeable silent green majority and the ranters and ravers are in actual fact a tiny if very vocal minority.

These statistics should give heart to all those in politics and business who want to push green harder. Here in the UK, only one of the three main party leaders, Deputy PM Nick Clegg, has made a major green speech while PM David Cameron and Opposition Leader Ed Miliband have merely paid lip service. This is incredible given that whopping 77:4 ratio of supporters to opponents of renewable energy - a clear vote winner for whoever pushes hardest at that open door.

Business leaders too should feel empowered. This appetite for a low carbon economy from the general public and, by extension, their employees and potential employees is fertile ground for innovation, new products and whole new business ventures. People want it - let's supply it!

Having said that, I would warn against the statistics being seen as a carte blanche (carte verte?). Going green requires creative destruction - losing the high carbon, highly polluting parts of the economy and replacing them with greener equivalents. Such change produces uncertainty and may undermine confidence, eroding that public perception. The key as always is to ensure that the new product/process/system is much better in all respects than the old before phasing out the latter. I suspect that the 77% are asking for a shiny new low carbon economy, not a tatty old hair shirt.

 

 

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17 September 2012

Waxing Lyrical about Barbour Jackets

It's fair to say I am not renowned for my fashion sense. I can do 'smart smart', but like many men I'm rubbish at the somewhat dichotomous 'smart casual.' So recently I decided I was going to buy myself a nice smart casual jacket and started looking around and found nothing. Then I happened upon an interview with the dashing actor David Harewood of Homeland fame, illustrated by a picture of him sporting a really cool Barbour jacket. Now I associated Barbour with the landed gentry, but hadn't come across their funkier International range. And they're made locally - just down the road from me at South Shields - a rare British clothing manufacturer. So, reader, I bought one.

And it has been like a love affair - my jacket is very cool looking and incredibly practical - I've worn it in some very testing conditions and it passed with flying colours. And in terms of sustainable consumption, here's Ian Bergin, Head of Menswear at Barbour, speaking to The Journal (our local paper):

“The big trend in the last five years is values-led consumption and it seems that the feeling is going to last. You have never had people throwing their Barbour away. Jackets come in and they’re 50 years old. They are re-waxed. It’s a lovely part of the business."

This is my kind of materialism - building a relationship between customer and product and maximising the life of that product, while continuing to extract value through the repair process. So often we hear or read people sneering at expensive, branded products as the antithesis of sustainability, but I believe in buying quality, not quantity and that comes at a price (and not too excessive on the grand scale of things when it comes to Barbour). If you pay for something, you look after it. To me, the antithesis of sustainability is actually the 'pile'em high, sell'em cheap, throw'em away, buy another' products of the budget chains - and let's face it, if you can buy T-shirts at £2.00, whoever made them didn't get paid very well, did they?

 

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30 August 2012

Musings on a Green Economy pt4: What Needs Fixing And How Do We Fix It?

This is the fourth and last part of my holiday musings on a Green Economy - looking at what's stopping us achieve a sustainable economy and what I suggest needs doing to break down those barriers.

Last time we saw that the elements for a green economy are all available to us: radical ways of delivering experience without (so much) stuff, a shift to renewable energy, zero waste business models and the eradication of toxic materials.  However, unlike most technological advances, we can't afford to be laissez-faire as time is not on our side. This week arctic ice coverage plummeted to an all time low, disrupting weather patterns across the Northern temperate zones (not to mention my holiday plans). What is required is vastly accelerated maturation of these elements so innovation, synergies and economies of scale all kick in to deliver rapid change.

So what is holding us back?

I often say that the barrier to sustainability is just 6 inches wide - the space between our ears. And unfortunately it is human nature to think incrementally - witness current calls for a plastic bag tax. But, as someone else said - man didn't get to the moon by aiming half way - or 0.1% of the way in the case of the would-be scourges of carrier bags. We need to collectively raise our sights.

Politically, there is no doubt we need much stronger leadership across the board. The Rio+20 summit was conspicuously premier-free - with big names like Merkel, Cameron and Obama absent. This presents a big risk as political leadership gives the nascent technology developers confidence and bureaucrats direction. As the green economy requires creative destruction - we have to lose the old ways of doing things as fast as we gain the new ways - we need our leaders to be cheerleaders for the new. Otherwise the media will focus relentlessly on the loss of the old - we need that bright uplands vision thing desperately. Here in the UK, opposition Labour leader Ed Miliband, who has a decent record on green issues when in office but has been strangely silent on it since, could make much, much more of the green economy and force the Prime Minister to buck up his act.

On the global scale, a binding international agreement on climate change seems as far away as ever - and I find it hard to see how any agreement will satisfy Washington, London, Berlin, Beijing and New Dehli without being so weak as to be worthless. UK Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne has been widely condemned for saying there is nothing green about forcing polluting companies overseas, but actually he was quite right. Without an international agreement, such 'carbon leakage' will undermine moves in richer countries to cut their carbon. This is a classic 'tragedy of the commons' where it is in no-one's self-interest to act, yet everyone suffers as a result.

So how do we square that circle? I can think of two ways. First, forget the binding carbon targets, but challenge each country to publish their own targets and report against them in real time, creating an element of competition. This has the benefits of being really easy, fast to implement and avoids the dreaded lowest common denominator. The only 'penalty' is loss of national pride which of course won't have the oomph of binding targets, but this approach has the substantial advantage of being possible.

Secondly, big business controls global supply chains through buying power, irrespective of national boundaries. If countries, trading blocks and corporations co-operate to mandate whole-life cycle sustainability requirements on products and commodities (in a flexible way), then it won't matter whether a product is produced in Leicester or Kuala Lumpur, it will be low carbon and sustainably sourced. Developing countries would strive to implement higher green standards to remain competitive, rather than the race to the bottom we currently have. And Mr Osborne would get to sleep easy.

On a more local basis, many of the moribund economies of the world are looking for infrastructure projects to stimulate growth. Well, here's an idea. Instead of expanding roads and airports and all that old fashioned high carbon economy stuff, why not accelerate the development of smart grids. This hits so many buttons - high tech, long term, innovative, sustainable, and most importantly, it will unlock the long term uptake of renewables to the point where they can dominate electricity production driving down the country's carbon footprint. You can have that one for free, Chancellor.

Despite the doom and gloom. I remain optimistic that we can fix these problems - but we do need to, as Apple put it so ungrammatically but effectively, think different.

OK, so that's my view, what's yours?

 

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28 August 2012

Musings on a Green Economy pt3: What's Working

Here's part 3 of my holiday musings on a green economy. Last time, we looked at two models of sustainability - eco-efficiency (doing more with less) and eco-system models (copying nature's solar powered loops). This time, we'll be looking at what moves to a green economy are genuinely making progress.

I haven't bought a CD for years. This is not an insignificant sign - I was the archetypal '£50 bloke' who would have felt strange coming back from my weekly shopping trip into town without a bag of those shimmering disks. About half of these I would love, the others would sit on the shelf after a play or two. Now I rarely bring such stuff into my house, yet my life is still full of music due to the wonders of t'internet, MP3s and iPhones. In fact I rarely 'go shopping' anymore.

When I considered eco-efficiency last time, I mused that the only way we would get step changes would be new models of consumption which sell us 'experience' rather than 'stuff'. Experience is the music, stuff is the CDs. Experience is the movie, stuff is the DVD. Experience is the picture, stuff is the film and the paper it used to exist on. Experience is the words in a book, stuff is the pages, glue and card, nevermind the packaging and transportation. Experience is a webinar, stuff is the fuel required to attend a training session.

And you can see the effect - two of the big purveyors of CDs and DVDs on the British highstreet, Woolworths and Zavvi (nee Virgin Music), have gone, and the survivor, HMV, is said to be struggling. Camera film has almost disappeared from the shelves and sales of compact cameras have plummeted as smartphones make them redundant. Many books' electronic versions outsell their paper'n'glue equivalents.

Of course this digital experience has an ecological price - but the carbon footprint of a downloaded music album is said to be 40% that of the physical equivalent. And now server farms are being relocated to the far north or powered by renewables to bring that burden down in way you simply can't do with a physical product. And the lightweight nature of home entertainment may be weaning us off our addiction to accumulating stuff as status symbol - witness the rise in other collaborative consumption models such as Airb'n'b and ZipCar. But more widely it shows us what we need to do to make such eco-efficiency gains: think different and make the new version so desirable that consumers willingly ditch the old.

Looking at the eco-system model, renewable energy is booming. Germany, the spiritual home of the feed-in tariff, hit 50% of electricity production from renewable sources for an hour in May. OK, that was just an hour, but it shows new energy sources are capable of biting significant chunks out of fossil fuel's dominance of the market. Here in the UK, solar panels are springing up all over the joint and capital costs have dropped 30% as a result. Renewables companies are often being paid not to generate - a bizarre state of affairs which shows their increasing contribution.

In terms of zero-waste, domestic waste collection and reprocessing is climbing steadily as local authorities and individuals suss each other out. Numerous companies have declared themselves as wanting to be 'zero waste' and some 'waste' companies are finding where there's muck there's brass, for example plundering street sweepings to recover platinum from catalytic converters. And toxic materials are being eradicated left, right and centre, mainly on the back of tough EU legislation which ripples out around the world.

More broadly, another interesting shift is the number of big retailers and public sector organisations which have taken on the mantle as gatekeepers for the citizen and are driving sustainability down through their supply chains. This has many advantages over the niche of green consumerism as these players can use their buying power to demand performance, price and planet from their suppliers - a pretty good deal for the consumer.

So is it all rosy in the garden? No, certainly not. There's plenty to be optimistic about, but a long, long way to go to sustainability. In Part 4, we'll look at some of the big sticking points and what can be done.

 

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23 August 2012

Musings on a Green Economy pt2: Visions of Utopia


So, as discussed in pt1, we need to green our economy not only to make us environmentally sustainability (the medium-long term priority) but also to get the economy going again (so even if you hate the green movement, you should swallow your pride). But what would a green economy look like?

I like to split the various visions of utopia into two broad catagories:

1. Eco-efficiency aka "doing more with less"

Eco-efficiency is all about numbers, such as "we need to cut carbon emissions by 80% by 2050". It can be defined as the amount of use (utility) we can get out of each unit of resource - oil, raw materials etc with the hope that if we extract more use, we need less stuff. Estimates of what level of efficiency increases we might need range from a factor of 4 (in the famous book of that name) to over 100.

Why so high? Well, history tells us that the more efficiently we use stuff, paradoxically, the more we tend to consume - if driving becomes cheaper, we tend to drive more, or, more worryingly, use the money saved to buy a cheap flight, destroying any environmental benefit. This is known as the rebound effect.

And then there's the problem of how efficient we can make technology - hitting Factor 10 in a house is now straightforward, but try doing it for, say, flying.

To make eco-efficiency work, we have the following options:

  • Make massive efficiency gains to overwhelm the rebound effect (how many flights can one person take?);
  • Restrain consumption by either restraining affluence (try selling that politically) or population growth (another political humdinger);
  • Change the nature of consumption so we are consuming experience rather than 'stuff' - an MP3 gives you the music you want without the cardboard, plastics and metals needed to produce a CD (we'll look at this in more detail next week).

2. Eco-system models aka "copying the solar powered cycles of nature"

Nature doesn't do efficiency - think how many sperm a man produces over his life compared to the number of children he is likely to father (sorry if you're reading this over lunch) - yet nature has been pretty much sustainable for at least the last billion years. It does it by creating loops of materials (carbon, oxygen, nitrogen etc) which do not systematically poison the system, powered by solar and gravitational forms of energy.

To copy nature, we need to shift to a circular economy where all waste becomes a raw material for something else  - or where we can trade materials sustainably with nature. This all needs to be powered by renewable energy. And we need to eradicate persistent poisons. None of this involves numbers - it is all or nothing. The big question is: can we actually deliver this with the levels of stuff currently in the economy? In natural cycles, energy capture is usually the constraining factor and it is true of the eco-system model - can we capture enough renewable energy? If not, and it would be a steep challenge, we'd need to make genuine eco-efficiency gains to make it feasible.

The Paradigm Shift

The two paradigms are completely compatible - for example using recovered metals will reduce carbon emissions quantitatively and using materials more efficienctly will help make the circular economy more feasible. However, as the eco-system model is the only one that will guarantee sustainability, we need to pursue it as the end point and thus the priority. Unfortunately most policy makers see eco-efficiency as the priority, so there is a requirement to reframe the debate so we get a paradigm shift.

In Part 3, we're going to look at what's working, and after that, what needs fixing.

 

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3 February 2012

Are smart phones now driving dematerialisation?

I have always been sceptical of the argument that multi-function devices like smart phones are eco-friendly by avoiding the need for a stack of equivalent individual devices (in this case MP3 players, digital cameras, wrist watches etc). I have an iPhone which did stop me purchasing a voice recorder for the interviews for The Green Executive (there was an app for that), but I already had an iPod, a digital compact camera, a watch etc, etc so the phone hasn't offset the purchases of those devices (although I am less likely to upgrade them in future).

But, for the younger generations at least, this now seems to be changing. They are increasingly living their lives around a single device. To take one example of the commercial impact of this, sales of point and click cameras were down a staggering 30% last year - a fall attributed to the use of camera phones, and no wonder - you take the picture, edit it and upload it to Facebook with just a few taps on that slick touchscreen. Even my dad has started reading the morning news on his phone, and  smart phones are said to be the guitar tuner of choice amongst the younger bands.

It is probably just old fogeys like me who have spent long enough in the analogue age to have accumulated so much electronic baggage. The younger generations do not need to have as much physical stuff as we did - whether cameras, magazines or stacks of CDs - and that can only be a good thing. It is also a trend which business needs to take cognisance of - or they could end up in the same dire straits as Kodak.

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1 February 2012

Adam Smith's Invisible Brain

I was watching BBC's Daily Politics on Monday to catch the latest on the RBS bonus affair that I had just blogged on, and, lo, there was an item on responsible capitalism. They focussed on B&Q, an excellent example of responsible business, but fell into the old trap of thinking the scope of corporate social responsibility begins and ends with supporting the local community. But then, in the interests of balance, up popped a chap from the Adam Smith Institute to declare that CSR was "a tax on the consumer."

Deep breath.

Count to ten.

This is the economics of Milton Friedman - that the only responsibility of an business is to maximise profits for shareholders. Well, we're still living with the consequences of that sort of thinking - the sub prime bubble, Ponzi-style financial "products", bank crashes, debt crises, the age of austerity etc, etc. Throughout history, unrestrained markets - in this case financial markets - have bubbled and burst with painful consequences - not least to the shareholders that Friedman claims should be put first, second and last. Left to itself, Adam Smith's famous invisible hand sometimes punches us in the face.

Let's face facts. Business operates in society, society exists in the environment. To state the bleedin' obvious, businesses - and therefore the supply side of the economy - are made up of people. The demand side of the economy is made up of people. Business is a social issue, people delivering value to people in return for financial reward. You can't get away from that.

And even from a narrowly financial point of view, CSR is good business. Marks & Spencer has made a tidy profit on Plan A, doing the "heavy lifting" on environmental and social issues on behalf of their customers who clearly see that as added value rather than an added cost. B&Q is the fourth largest home improvement chain in the world, so their environmental and social projects have hardly held them back. Procter & Gamble is the highest ranked consumer goods company on the Forbes Global 2000 list, yet they give away their water purification product for free to people in developing countries.

As a consumer I buy from all three because of that added value. And would you rather have shares in a responsible, successful business like these as opposed to worthless shares in an irresponsibly crashed bank?

The title of this post is tongue-in-cheek, by the way. I'm not saying the guys at the Adam Smith Institute are stupid, in fact they are possibly a little too clever to fully understand the real world around them. A little less IQ and a little more EQ (emotional intelligence) might set them in better stead.

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18 January 2012

Enabling your customers to be more sustainable pt2

The BusinessGreen webcast on customer behaviour went really well on Monday. The recorded version will be online soon and I'll put the link in the comments below. I'm not going to summarise the sessions in detaiul here as you will be able to watch it, but instead I'll pull out some key messages from the participants.

Sophie Flak of hotel group Accor (Sofitel, Novotel, Formule1) emphasised the need to use facts rather than following the crowd or to "think twice before acting" as she put it.

Carmel McQuaid of Marks & Spencer emphasised that the green message must be fully integrated into mainstream marketing. So M&S uses the same models (Danii, Twiggy et al) for their green campaigns as their normal advertising - and they sync their "clear out days" to promote the recycling of clothes with their seasonal changes in stock.

My main point was to put yourself in the customers shoes. You need to make green behaviour as frictionless as possible while adding friction to the less green behaviour - exactly the same principle to promote green behaviour within your organisation.

We got some great questions, too.

One was about the message you use. All the panellists agreed that preaching was counterproductive. I suggested that humour was a good option, such as replacing the po-faced "Consider the environment before printing this e-mail" with a wittier version like "Printing this e-mail will make Al Gore cry."

Another was along the lines of "is greening products enough or do we not need a different type of economy?" My response was that it was already happening in certain areas - music, books, movies where people were increasingly buying the service rather than the equivalent physical artefact, but that in others it was difficult as  many people see a product such as a car as a sign of status - which is why many car clubs are targetting the second car rather than the first one.

The most worrying was about the 'cost downside' of doing all this. I was quite blunt and pointed out that study after study had shown that companies who took sustainability seriously were doing better in the downturn than average (acknowledging that cause and effect weren't completely clear).

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16 January 2012

Enabling your customers to be more sustainable pt1

I'm writing this on the East Coast Mainline, charging across the frozen fields of eastern England as the sun casts various tints of orange across the monochrome landscape. I'm on my way down to the bright lights of London to take part on a webinar about engaging customers on how to use your products and services in a greener way. The event is organised by BusinessGreen.com, sponsored by Accor and also includes Marks & Spencer, so I'm in pretty good company.

If you read this in time, you can still sign up here - I'll post a summary on Wednesday for all those who missed it!

Just to give some background - customer engagement is one of the three big challenges for green business I identified back in December. Effectively all those green collar jobs everyone hopes says will emerge from the green economy will be delivering products and services which allow others to go greener. This is the top level of the business case model in my book, the Green Executive. So why is this such a big issue?

Well look at the diagram below (taken from The Green Executive) which shows lifecycle carbon emissions for a variety of generic products - computer, car, food and washing powder - which:

Food is the only common example I could find where the emissions from the use phase (in this case cooking at home) don't dominate the lifecycle. In the case of food this is because of the huge amount of energy required for fertiliser, pesticides and irrigation. But for the other three, the biggest element of the emissions is in the hands of the user.

The washing powder data above came from Procter & Gamble and was the evidence that drove them to create Ariel Excel Gel which allows washing at 15°C - a massive potential improvement in lifecycle emissions. But that improvement hinges on the consumer being able/wanting to wash at that temperature. First up, my A+ rated washing machine doesn't have a 15°C setting and secondly, (on the rare occasions I put a wash on) I'm forever turning the dial from 40°C down to 30°C - the fairies turn it back up when I turn my back. Marks & Spencer may have run a massive "Wash at 30°C" campaign on their clothes, but there is a residual feeling amongst many consumers that warmer = cleaner.

So you can (and must) enable greener behaviour, you can (and must) inform the consumer/customer of the benefits, but that's often not enough to actually change their behaviour. We'll look at that in part 2.

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11 January 2012

Putting the customer first

There's disappointing news from the world of low emission vehicles (LEVs) - while sales of all cars were up 10% last year in the US, alternatively fuelled vehicles (incl hybrids) only rose 2.3%. In the UK, however, road fuel sales were down. This broadly suggests that people are simply driving less rather than investing a premium in a vehicle which would cost less to run overall. But it may also be fear of the new - will that electric car run out of charge half way down the M1?

The relationship between green products of any type and consumers has always been complicated - for example organic food dominates baby food sales but not 'adult food' - we're happy to eat cheap crap ourselves but won't feed it to our kids. There are many reasons for consumers being lukewarm on green products:

  • Habit/comfort zone
  • Costs - perceived or otherwise
  • Perceived low quality
  • Lack of understanding/fear that a new system will be complicated

I've argued for a long time that it is retail which is acting as a gatekeeper for fast moving consumer goods. Their huge buying power can both drive innovation, ensure quality and keep costs reasonable. The consumer can then trust the retailer to get it right on their behalf.

But what for other sectors? The golden rule is to put yourself in your customers' shoes. If you are aiming for a green niche then you can compromise on performance or price for a very green product. However if you want to go mainstream, you must compete on performance, price and planet.

Of course the ultimate goal is a green product that people deeply desire. MP3s and e-Books aren't marketed as green, but they are - and they sell in their millions. It may be that the auto industry needs to go through another couple of iterations before they hit that level of customer pull for LEVs - after all one technology has dominated the industry for 120 years and that it take some shifting.

 

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16 December 2011

The Three Big Challenges of Green Business


If going green is a Herculean task in itself, it is one with three massive challenges, just like Cerberus the three headed dog (who looks a bit of a poodle in this classic woodcut, but never mind). Those three slavering jaws that could wreck your efforts are:

1. The Supply Chain

For most organisations, the supply chain is the biggest part of your carbon/ecological footprint. With complex, global chains, it is very hard to trace where materials and components come from. For example, huge number of big brands have black-listed paper giant APP for their destruction of rainforest, but the company hasn't gone bust, so it is almost certain its products are finding their way to the consumer through some circuitous route. Likewise if you want to develop greener products or install greener technologies, you will often find the supply chains are weak - low quality, high prices, low reliability. This will change over time as demand rises, but it is currently a serious brake on progress.

2. Company Culture

It is very telling that at least 80% of my work this year has involved engaging with clients' staff to get their buy-in to sustainability. Without that buy-in - from the boardroom table to the guy sweeping the yard - green programmes will stall. This is where real leadership and hard graft are required - it is not easy. (Don't forget to check out my guide to fostering green behaviour at work.)

3. Consumer Behaviour

Whether you are selling houses, kettles or washing powders, the biggest factor that will determine their environmental impact is how they are used by the consumer (or other end user). Proctor & Gamble may have developed Ariel Excel Gel (aka Tide Coldwater) which will wash clothes at 15°C, but all their work will be in vain if the consumers' dials drift back up to 40°C. A zero carbon house won't be a zero carbon house if the doors are left open in mid-winter with an electric fire blazing in every room. Persuading those people to buy your green product and then use it correctly is a function of marketing, product design and clever messaging.

Big challenges indeed - worthy of a true superhero. Hercules used strength, guile and determination to complete his tasks - virtues required of the successful green business leader, too.

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